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Forecasting biomes of protected areas

机译:预测保护区生物群落

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摘要

Protected areas are designed for a range of purposes, mainly with the aim of protecting certain habitats including their associated species. The possible threats have mainly been thought of as anthropogenic influences such as deforestation from lodging and fires, hunting, construction of roads and houses etc. The biomes of the park have been assumed to be the constant, so that the distribution of animals and vegetation would only change rapidly due to direct anthropogenic influence. However, with a changing climate, the conditions within the park might change to conditions unsuitable for the current population of animals and vegetation within relatively short time. In this paper we will introduce eHabitat, a Web Processing Service (WPS) designed to compute the likelihood of finding ecosystems with equal properties. We present a use case where eHabitat is applied to an ensemble of climate change scenarios, in order to compute the probability that an ecosystem's ecological niche will occur in a particular location in the future. This will help us to identify the future suitability of an area for a particular ecosystem
机译:保护区的设计用途广泛,主要目的是保护某些栖息地及其相关物种。可能的威胁主要被认为是人为的影响,例如住宿和火灾造成的森林砍伐,狩猎,道路和房屋的建造等。公园的生物群落被认为是不变的,因此动物和植被的分布将只是由于直接的人为影响而迅速变化。但是,随着气候变化,公园内的条件可能会在相对较短的时间内变为不适合当前动物和植被种群的条件。在本文中,我们将介绍eHabitat,这是一种Web处理服务(WPS),旨在计算发现具有相同属性的生态系统的可能性。我们提出了一个用例,其中将eHabitat应用于一组气候变化方案中,以计算将来某个特定位置出现生态系统生态位的可能性。这将有助于我们确定某个地区对特定生态系统的未来适应性

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